In my last post, I discussed the surge in COVID-19 cases that is affecting all regions. Deaths from the virus are also increasing and rose significantly in every region during the month of November, according to data published by Johns Hopkins. While cases made new highs in every region, in November, daily deaths set records only for the Midwest and the West. Just like with cases, the Midwest suffered the biggest increase in deaths from COVID-19 in November. See the graph below.
The Northeast is still well below its Spring peak for deaths. The peak on April 21st is off the graph and was approximately 3.4 deaths per 100,000 people. That was close to 1,900 deaths that day, whereas for December 1st it was much lower at 242. It’s likely that the number of cases in the Northeast was even higher than now, but the number of cases was lower because of a lack of testing at that point in time.
The South, the West, and the Northeast are now all experiencing a similar number of deaths per capita. The increase in daily deaths in the South though is lower because it was increasing from a higher base level. The South experience more deaths than any other region during the Summer months and did not decline as much from its peak as the West and the Northeast, likely due to a lack of consistent mask mandates as compared with the West and Northeast.
Note, there is data from the CDC that does not show the same surge yet, but from my discussions with others who have been analyzing CDC data, it appears there is a significant lag in their reporting.
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