July 2020

In his excellent book on the importance of understanding uncertainty titled The Flaw of Averages, Sam Savage introduces the key notion that “plans based on… Read More »The Flaw of Averages and ICU Capacity

According to a news article yesterday, 54 Florida hospitals have reached their maximum ICU capacity. In the same article, Florida Governor Ron DeSantis stated that… Read More »Lying With Statistics, Florida Style

Do you ever feel like someone is looking over your shoulder when you work?

I’ve been working from home ever since I changed jobs three years ago. One of the things I did not consider is the possibility that… Read More »Working From Home

The heat map below that shows the increase in cases by age group over time (brighter/lighter means more cases) shows an interesting pattern – it… Read More »Heat Map of Cases in Florida

Could two billion people die from COVID-19? It’s not likely, but according to a recent statistical study of 71 historical contagious disease epidemics by Pasquale… Read More »One Hundred Twenty Million Deaths?

Sportscaster Paul Finebaum said today that he thinks there is only a 25% chance that there will be a college football season this Fall. This… Read More »Save College Football – Wear a Mask!

According to this article, fourteen states and the District of Columbia enacted statewide mandates before June 1st requiring masks to be worn in public. Looking… Read More »Mask Mandates Work